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Stock Market Predictions August 2015

By Kshitij Sharma, August 2, 2015

July 2015 Recap

July 2015 has again been average to good for the predictions on this site. Hindalco was indeed downward from 1st July onwards.

Considering the beginning of the month, Banking has been flat to downwards. You should continue watching this till 2nd week of August. SBI did not follow the prediction, 20 day EMA has been up since the beginning of the month.

HDFC doing better than LIC is wrong when LIC went up close to 10% (From 450 to 500, almost 11%), but HDFC did not do as well as expected (1285 to 1340). Maruti had few good days and has not been disappointing the market. This is what Moneycontrol says: July auto sales: Maruti up 20%, Leyland zooms 40%; M&M weak.

Asian paints, went up considerably on 6,7 July and ended up gaining more than 10% during the month. As on July 31st, FMCG 1 Week gains are 3.10%, while 1 Month gains are 4.40%.

Pharma was very choppy at the time of writing this blog on 25th July. 1 Week returns of CNX Pharma as looked on Moneycontrol have been -6.90%, 1 Month returns are flat.

One of the biggest picks of the month was Hindustan Petroleum, which went up from 740 to 900. BPCL was called an outlier: It went up from 880 to 980. On the other hand, ONGC went down. However, let me say that I do not track ONGC in my stock list.

August 2015 Predictions

During the month, markets will see more ups than down days. However, it is inconclusive if markets overall are going to be in positive, given the current scenario. There are not many elements affecting the market till the middle of the month. You really should continue looking at the market as per July predictions and then start tracking from Monday, 16th August 2015 onwards.

Infrastructure companies: ABB, Aban Offshore are up. As a sector, cement would also be good. Labour and industry intensive industries will show upward movement. Container Corp, Bharat forge, BHEL etc. For these, look at the levels closer to the end of August and get out of it. These can rally and pay off in short term, however, at the same time, longer term outlook is neutral. Reliance is a stock that can show up to 10% returns in this period. Among steel stocks, Jindal steel has higher potential, but Tata Steel is down. Adani ports, Adani Enterprises are both flat. Finolex is predicted to be down.

Banking sector predicted to be neutral to flat. There are lot of expectations and it does not look like they will be fulfilled.

Pharma sector is good after the beating last month: Biocon, Cipla, GSK, Dr. Reddy is up. Suven Life Sciences stock is surprisingly flat and will not go up, but it should be again be keenly observed in 3rd and 4th week of the month.

Auto sector will be neutral to flat. Monsoon and jitteriness among rural India is a problem here – Maruti, Ashok Leyland and Eicher. Ceat & Apollo tyres are in the same situation. Petroleum stocks will be flat to down – too much run up in last month will ensure that these reach a plateau.

From the 2nd week of the month, look at paint and other areas of luxury and shine. From the third week of the month, Asian Paints will be up. Berger would be choppy, which you should buy with a 5% stop loss and if it is triggered, sell and come out. Otherwise hold and wait for it to run up till the end of the month. Same is the case with Pidilite Industries Limited. Articles of food/luxury like Tata Coffee, Britannia are showing upwards trajectory. ITC is more up than down. If you are planning to make a buy decision closer to 1st week of August, hold it for 10 days and observe.

Disclaimer: The stock market and commodities predictions made on this page and website are for informational purposes only. These may never be treated as recommendations to anyone to purchase any specific shares or futures/options. These predictions are based purely on Vedic Astrology principles and their accuracy is not guaranteed. These predictions may prove to be completely unrelated to what is happening in the stock and commodities market. These may be followed by the reader of this column/website solely at his/her own risk. This website, astrologers and the author(s) of this column refuse all liability and responsibility for losses made by the persons after going through this column. They may or may not have any positions in the shares and sectors indicated in this blog and it in no way influences the overall points mentioned here.

One comment

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